Modelling on the United States pandemic suggested "the pandemic would have been almost completely suppressed from significantly taking off if the lockdown measures were implemented two weeks earlier" and that the second wave would have been less severe had the lockdown lasted another two weeks. Ī study investigating the spread based on studies of the most common symptoms such as loss of taste and smell in France, Italy and the UK showed a marked decrease in new symptoms just a few days after the start of confinement on the countries ( Italy and France) with the strongest lockdowns. : 40 The authors attribute the differences in findings to an earlier review to its inclusion of modelling studies. : 62 A systematic review with Johns Hopkins University by economists concluded that lockdowns as opposed to guidelines or medical advice had little to no effects on COVID-19 mortality. There is disagreement about the size of the effect of lockdowns on COVID-19 mortality. Lockdowns are thought to be most effective at containing or preventing COVID-19 community transmission, healthcare costs and deaths when implemented earlier, with greater stringency, and when not lifted too early. Several researchers, from modeling and demonstrated examples, have concluded that lockdowns were somewhat effective at reducing the spread of, and deaths caused by, COVID-19. They have also had profound negative economic impacts, and have been met with protests in some territories. In addition to the health effects of lockdown restrictions, researchers have found the lockdowns have reduced crime and violence by armed non-state actors, such as the Islamic State, and other terrorist groups. To achieve a balance between restrictions and normal life, the WHO recommends a response to the pandemic that consists of strict personal hygiene, effective contact tracing, and isolating when ill. The World Health Organization's recommendation on lockdowns is that they should be very brief, short-term measures to reorganize, regroup, rebalance resources, and protect health workers who are exhausted. Research and case studies have shown that lockdowns were generally effective at reducing the spread of COVID-19, therefore flattening the curve. Although similar disease control measures have been used for hundreds of years, the scale of those implemented in the 2020s is thought to be unprecedented. By April 2020, about half of the world's population was under some form of lockdown, with more than 3.9 billion people in more than 90 countries or territories having been asked or ordered to stay at home by their governments. These restrictions were established with the intention to reduce the spread of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. To illustrate this spread further, below is a map showing new COVID-19 cases in every city and town for every 3 months since March 2020.Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, a number of non-pharmaceutical interventions colloquially known as lockdowns (encompassing stay-at-home orders, curfews, quarantines, cordons sanitaires and similar societal restrictions) have been implemented in numerous countries and territories around the world. The spikes in new cases in Central Visayas (blue dashed line) in mid-2020 and in the first quarter of 2021 are also shown in the chart, as well as the wave of new cases in Western Visayas (red dashed line) that peaked around September 2020, and in Davao Region (yellow dotted line) that peaked around January 2021. The averages are likewise high in nearby Calabarzon (orange solid line) and Central Luzon (green solid line). Going by the 7-day average of new cases per region, Metro Manila (red solid line in the chart) is the top source of new cases. The last time this happened was around September and October 2020. In recent days, Metro Manila has been seeing new cases in the thousands again. Meanwhile, the detection and local transmission of the United Kingdom variant in Mountain Province put the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR) on high alert. In early 2021, an uptick in cases took place again in Cebu City and surrounding areas after the holidays. In the last quarter of 2020 and well into February 2021, there was a substantial number of cases in Mindanao (yellow shade), mostly in Davao City. Most new cases have usually been reported from virus epicenter Metro Manila (green shade in the chart) and Luzon (in red shade).Īround June 2020, cases surged in the Visayas (blue shade), especially in Cebu City, briefly turning it into the country’s second virus epicenter. The chart above shows the share of new cases in each major area in the country per day since March 2020.
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